Black Swan

Some have called the COVID-19 crisis a black swan event. It has had an extreme impact and the world was unprepared for what has transpired, even though, in hindsight, it was not unexpected. The mining industry has also been caught up in the turmoil. While previous global economic downturns hold…

This Week’s Featured Link Emirates’ Tim Clark: Coronavirus is a black swan event for the airline industry – The NationalI’m a sucker for a CEO interview that actually has substance. Here’s a good interview with the (probably still) outgoing head of Emirates, Sir Tim Clark. Image of the Week: This…

“My dad used to run his own business. He was only high school educated. Every time I tried to complicate things when I was in college and I’d talk to him about his business, he would be like, ‘It’s three shoeboxes, Nick. It’s the money in, the money out, and…

Double Black Swan Hitting Texas Drags Down Rest of Nation... site_name: www.msn.com host: www.msn.com url: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/other/double-black-swan-h??? Read More

There is no better moment to realize the value of a hedged and diversified investment strategy than now during this difficult coronavirus crisis. Logical-Invest has been developing hedged investment strategies for years with the goal of minimizing risk. Since we have been in a bull market for 11 years now,…

The recent and ongoing battle with COVID-19 has raised a goodly number of issues in and around getting surprised, arguments around emergent data, and slow/appropriate responses. The lessons learned so far are pretty rich, but I think there is more to discover. Scenario planning seemed to be lacking, the early…

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - FEBRUARY 21: K-pop boy band BTS visit the SiriusXM Studios on February 21, 2020 ... in New York City. (Photo by Cindy Ord/Getty Images for SiriusXM) Getty Images for SiriusXM Like every other band and solo musician in the world, BTS can’t tour or do…

I started my career in the midst of a “Black Swan” event. A generation ago, Dallas was in the throes of a mess, particularly from a commercial real estate standpoint. In the early ’80s, following the deregulation of the Savings and Loans, a tsunami of development ensued—some good, some not,…

Since the “black swan” metaphor was coined in the 2007 book of the same name it has become fashionable to label virtually all low probability/high impact events black swans. But the danger of making an occurrence like the COVID-19 outbreak appear to be astronomically rare is that we will treat…

The trouble with black swan events is that no two of them look alike, so preparing for them is a dicey business.The unforeseen, global seismic events that touch every aspect of daily life tend to leave things forever changed.That’s especially true for financial services.In scrambling to address the coronavirus crises…